1.
INTRODUCTION
Telecommunications is one of the prime support services needed for rapid growth
and modernization of various sectors of the economy. It has become especially
important in recent years because of enormous growth of Information Technology
(IT) and its significant impact on the rest of the economy. India is perceived
to have a special comparative advantage in IT and in IT-enabled services.
However, sustaining this advantage depends critically on high quality
telecommunication infrastructure. Keeping this in view, the focus of Tenth Plan
has to be on the provision of world class telecommunication facilities at
reasonable rates. Provision of telecom services in rural areas would be another
thrust area to attain the goal of accelerated economic development and social
change. Although the telecom network has grown rapidly in recent years, its
growth needs to be accelerated further in the Tenth Plan. It is equally
important to speed up structural changes in this sector in line with trends in
other countries to ensure that telecommunication services are not only made
available on the scale needed to sustain rapid growth in the economy as a whole
but also that their cost are in tune with the expectations of a modernising
economy.
1.2
For a dynamic sector, reforms is a continuous process necessitated by dynamics
of change including technological innovations. The telecom sector in India has
been witnessing a continuous process of reforms since 1991. With the opening of
international long distance services and internet telephony from April, 2002,
the process of liberalisation and opening up the sector for competition is
complete. Convergence of services is a major new emerging area and the telecom
sector will have to address this in the Tenth Plan.
1.3
The New Telecom Policy (NTP) announced in 1999 modified the NTP, 1994 to take
into account the far-reaching technological developments taking place in the
telecom sector globally and to implement the Government’s resolve to make India
a global IT superpower. NTP, 1999 also seeks to solve problems arising out of
the implementation of NTP, 1994. The objectives of the NTP 1999 are to:
-
Make available affordable and effective
communications for the citizens.
-
Strive to provide a balance between the
provision of universal service to all uncovered areas, including the rural
areas and the provision of high-level services capable of meeting the needs of
the country’s economy.
-
Encourage the development of
telecommunication facilities in remote, hilly and tribal areas of the country.
-
Create a modern and efficient
telecommunications infrastructure taking into account the convergence of IT,
media, telecom and consumer electronics and thereby propel India into becoming
an IT superpower.
-
Convert Public Call Offices (PCOs), wherever
justified, into Public Teleinfo centres offering multimedia services like
Intergrated Service Digital Network (ISDN) services, remote database access,
government and community information systems etc.
-
Transform in a time bound manner, the
telecommunications sector to a greater competitive environment in both urban
and rural areas providing equal opportunities and level playing field for all
players.
-
Strengthen research and development (R&D)
efforts in the country and provide an impetus to build world-class
manufacturing capabilities.
-
Achieve efficiency and transparency in
spectrum management.
-
Protect the defence and security interests
of the country.
- Enable Indian telecom
companies to become truly global players.
2.
Ninth Plan Review
2.1
During the Ninth Plan period, a record growth rate of telecom services was
achieved in the country. The network (equipped capacity) grew at an average rate
of about 22 per cent. Growth of both
cellular mobile phones and fixed line
phones has been equally impressive. While private sector concentrated in
cellular mobile phones segment, the growth in the Government sector was
primarily due to fixed line connections. Against the target of providing 237 lakh Direct Exchange Lines (DELs), about 240.55 lakh additional DELs have been
provided during the Ninth Plan. The cellular network has grown from a small base
of 3.40 lakh connections to 64.31 lakh connections by the Plan end. As a result
of this growth, the tele-density has nearly tripled from 1.57 at the beginning
of the Ninth Plan to 4.4 as on March 31, 2002. Details in this regard are given
in the Table below:
Network Expansion – Ninth Plan
(Lines in lakh)
|
|
As on 31.3.1997
|
Net
Addition–Ninth Plan
|
As on 31.3.2002
|
CAGR
|
|
Public
|
Private
|
Total
|
%
|
|
Fixed
|
145.40
|
234.68
|
5.87
|
240.55
|
385.95
|
21.56
|
|
Cellular
|
3.40
|
2.14
|
58.77
|
60.91
|
64.31
|
80.00
|
|
Total
|
148.80
|
236.82
|
64.64
|
301.46
|
450.26
|
24.79
|
|
Tele-density
|
1.57
|
--
|
-- |
-- |
4.4
|
-- |
|
VPTs
|
2.61
|
2.061
|
0.00846
|
2.07
|
4.68
|
12.39
|
The performance of the Public sector units, i.e. Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (BSNL)
and Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. (MTNL), has been impressive. Against the
target of installing 185 lakh new connections
in the original Plan (which was
revised to 222.7 lakh in Mid-Term appraisal for BSNL and MTNL) and 237 lakh for
the whole sector including private sector the achievement during the Ninth Plan
is 240.55 lakh connections including contribution of private sector i.e. more
than the target envisaged in the Ninth Plan Document. Ninth Plan also witnessed
the beginning of cellular services by the public sector. MTNL launched its
mobile services in Delhi and Mumbai as the third operator. Details of targets
and achievements of the public sector during the Ninth Plan are given as under.
NINTH PLAN (1997-02)
PHYSICAL TARGETS AND ACHIEVEMENTS- Telecommunications
Name of
Scheme
|
Original Target
|
Revised Targets
|
1997-98
|
1998-99
|
1999-2000
|
2000-01
|
2001-02
|
|
Target
|
Actuals
|
Target
|
Actual
|
Target
|
Actual
|
Target
|
Actual
|
Target
|
Actual
|
|
Switching Capacity (lakh lines)
|
230
|
298
|
36
|
35.18
|
49.3
|
47.89
|
54.7
|
67.17
|
72.35
|
71.3
|
82.46
|
75.83
|
|
DOT
|
200.6
|
273
|
30.8
|
32.3
|
44
|
43.75
|
49
|
63.02
|
67
|
67
|
77.76
|
70.33
|
|
MTNL
|
29.4
|
25
|
5.2
|
2.88
|
5.3
|
4.14
|
5.7
|
4.15
|
5.35
|
4.3
|
4.7
|
5.5
|
|
Direct Exchange
(Lakh lines)
|
185
|
222.7
|
29
|
32.59
|
36
|
37.92
|
45.5
|
49.18
|
52.4
|
59.25
|
72.3
|
57.88
|
|
DOT
|
160
|
200.7
|
24.6
|
28.65
|
31.5
|
35.45
|
40.6
|
45.4
|
48
|
56.29
|
68.3
|
53.07
|
|
MTNL
|
25
|
22
|
4.4
|
3.94
|
4.5
|
2.47
|
4.9
|
3.78
|
4.4
|
2.96
|
4
|
4.81
|
|
TAX (Lakh_lines)
|
18
|
23.06
|
3.25
|
3.14
|
4.5
|
2.06
|
4.53
|
4.8
|
5.15
|
5.12
|
10.1
|
9.97
|
|
DOT
|
15.24
|
18.87
|
2.75
|
2.77
|
3.87
|
2.06
|
4
|
4.03
|
4
|
5.12
|
9
|
9.07
|
|
MTNL
|
2.76
|
4.19
|
0.5
|
0.37
|
0.63
|
-
|
0.53
|
0.77
|
1.15
|
-
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
|
Microwave Systems (‘000kms)
|
90
|
70
|
18
|
17.99
|
19.5
|
14
|
15
|
19.88
|
10
|
21.03
|
7.5
|
14.45
|
|
Optical Fibre System (000 km)
|
140
|
270
|
22
|
23.82
|
35
|
31.77
|
40
|
63.27
|
100
|
55.35
|
126
|
99.02
|
|
VPT (‘000 Nos.)
|
239.16
|
278.87
|
83
|
42.86
|
80.5
|
37.06
|
45
|
33.97
|
70
|
34.22
|
144
|
70.75
|
2.2
The performance of the private sector during the Ninth Plan has been a mixed
one. While it did very well in the expansion of cellular network, the
performance was not encouraging in the fixed line segment. Only about 5.9 lakh
DELs have been installed against the target of 52 lakhs(original) and the
revised target of 14.3 lakh. Constraints like licensing agreements,
unrealistically higher licence fees, revenue share, right of way etc. have been
basically responsible for the slow progress for the private sector.
2.3
For the Government sector, an outlay of Rs.46,442.04 crore was approved for the
Ninth Plan to be financed basically from internal and extra budgetary resources
(IEBR). This included a small budget support component of Rs.44.04 crore meant
for financing the Plan outlay of regulatory bodies like TRAI and Wireless
Monitoring Organisation (WMO) etc. The approved outlay for the Ninth Plan was
only indicative in nature and the Annual Plan outlays were to be fixed on the
basis of resources that might become available during the year. The operational
outlay for the Ninth Plan on the basis of the Annual Plan outlays approved on a
year to year basis works out to Rs.84,783.90 crore including a budget support of
Rs.208.20 crore. As against this, plan expenditure is expected to be
Rs.69,407.62 crore. This gives a utilisation of 163 per cent of the originally
approved outlay and 89 per cent of the approved operational outlay. The
shortfall in expenditure in comparison to the operational outlay was basically
on account of lower expenditure by MTNL and BSNL due to delays in taking up some
new projects and reduction in cost of equipment. On the financing side, the IEBR
generation was lower than targeted (compared to operational outlay) basically on
account of reduced requirement for market borrowings.The shortfall in internal
resources generation by BSNL and MTNL could partly be attributed to tariff
re-balancing.
3. PRESENT STATUS OF
TELECOM NETWORK
3.1
The basic telecom services network has expanded from about 84 thousand
connections at the time of independence to about 385.95 lakh working connections
as on March 31 2002. Basic services network constitutes the bulk of the phones
accounting for about 86 per cent of the total telecom network. The main features
of the present telecom network are given in the table given below:
Status of Telephone Network – As on 31.03.2002
•
Total number of exchanges - 35,023
•
Number of rural exchanges – 26,953
•
Total Fixed Telephone connections – 385.95 lakh
•
Number of Cellular mobile phones – 64.31 lakh
•
Trunk Auto Exchange Lines (TAX) – 34.27 lakh
•
Tele Density - All India - 4.4
•
Number of Village Public Telephones – 4.68 lakh
•
Internet Connections – 38
lakh (as on January 31, 2002)
4. CHALLENGES
FOR THE TENTH PLAN
4.1
With the introduction of competition in the market, the focus of planning needs
to shift from the overall expansion of DELs and network to providing requisite
policy framework for the sector/ market to grow as required and consistent with
the overall policy objectives. In determining the appropriate policy initiatives
and the relevant regulatory framework for this purpose, we need to bear certain
factors in mind. The major factors/trends that merit consideration in this
regard are given below:
Factors and Trends Relevant for Future Policy Initiatives
- Based on global trends and Indian
experience, the rate of growth of cellular mobile services would continue to
be higher for a number of years. Its two important implications are further
lowering of average cost per line and cellular mobile/WLL-M becoming a major
tool of expansion in rural areas.
- The capital requirement for investments
in the next five years are expected to be lower than thepresent cost due to
continuing decline in equipment cost as well as lower network costs due to
competition resulting from entry of infrastructure providers Railways, Power
Grid Corporation, etc. and huge capacity addition by other players.
- A small portion of the subscriber base
provides a large share of call revenue. High revenue subscriber category
would form the core of competition among operators which may lead to a fall
in the tariffs applicable to this type i.e. long distance calls. As a
result, long distance tariffs may be even lower than those specified by the
regulator.
- Margin of surplus will decline over
time due to competition. However, the break-even revenue per subscriber will
also be lower due to decline in costs.
- Data services are expected to grow much
faster than voice telephony. This underlines the need in due course to focus
on broad-band linkages to enable the provision of these services at the
required rate.
- Due to large uncovered areas in rural
and remote regions of the country which are also expected to be low paying
as well, the commitments on account of USO are likely to be large.
- The trend towards convergence of
services may lead to major changes in the structure of industry and markets.
4.2
Telecommunications is one of the fastest growing sectors in India. However,
viewed in the context of global growth patterns and indicators, the sector is
still in the early stages of development. Our tele-density was only 4.01 as
compared to the global average of 32.78 (December, 2001) and 24.98 achieved by
China. The comparative position of teledensity in a cross section of countries –
both developed and developing – is given below.
Telecom Development - International Comparison
( As on December, 2001)
Country
|
Population
|
GDP per capita
|
DELs (Fixed)
|
Cellphones
|
Total Phones
|
Tele-density
|
|
|
(In crore)
|
(US$)*
|
(In lakh lines)
|
(In lakh lines)
|
(In lakh lines)
|
|
|
USA
|
28.59
|
36211
|
1900
|
1270
|
3170
|
110.88
|
|
UK
|
6.01
|
23694
|
353.26
|
470.26
|
823.52
|
137.02
|
|
Australia
|
1.93
|
19897
|
100.6
|
111.69 |